• Chad Blue

2018 NFL Mock Draft 1.0

Updated: Oct 29, 2018

1st Round - Trade down

It should come to a surprise to no one. Schneider and Carroll will trade down to acquire a possible mid-round pick. Last year, the Seahawks traded down to acquire a 3rd round pick from the Falcons and this year should involve a similar move. A possible trade would be with the Bills at #22, swapping our #18 and #141 picks for their #22 and #96. This move would help us move into the 3rd round.

The trade value calculator on FootballGuys.com has the value nearly even for both teams.

The trade may be of interest to the Bills who could move up to acquire Alabama WR, Calvin Ridley.

1st Round, 22nd overall via trade - Harold Landry, Edge, Boston College

6'3, 252 lbs.

CBS Sports Ranking: #44 (2nd Round)

NFL.com Ranking: Round 1

DraftAnalyst.com Ranking: Round 1

With the loss of Michael Bennett, Cliff Avril (as of now), and Sheldon Richardson, the Seahawks are in need of a premium edge rusher. Enter, Harold Landry.

Landry has excellent speed and burst, very good athleticism to bend and round the edge and possesses excellent change of direction. He also plays with excellent awareness and smarts - manipulating rush angles to get opposing blockers unbalanced and taking advantage of this leverage.

His production wavered in 2017 due to injury, but, his combine workout should silence any doubters of his health as he posted the following measurables:

40: 4.64

10-yard split: 1.59 (Anything under 1.60 is excellent for edge rushers)

Bench Press: 24 reps

Vertical: 36"

Broad Jump: 119"

3-cone: 6.88 (Anything less than 7.0 seconds is very good for an edge rusher)

20-yard shuttle: 4.19

60-yard shuttle: 11.35

NFL.com senior analyst and former NFL scout and coach Pat Kirwan utilizes an explosion formula as an indicator on how 'explosive' a player is - his ability to push and slide get into position to make plays.

Explosion Number = BP reps + Vertical (inches) + Standing Broad Jump (feet & inches) Those who score a 70 or greater are usually given extra consideration.

Landry's score: 69.92 Other NFL stars for comparison:

JJ Watt: 81.0

Aaron Donald: 76.7

Khalil Mack: 73.8

Jadeveon Clowney: 68.9

The Explosion number is not a determinative tell-all formula but more so a baseline into a prospect's athletic ability and whether or not a deeper dive into the player's tape is warranted.

Another formula of Kirwan's is the Production Ratio formula which determines a defensive prospect's ability to make plays. PR = Sacks + Tackles for Loss / Games Played Any score over 1.0, should warrant extra attention toward a prospect. Landry's PR score: 1.92

There are some that may not be enthused about Landry's size and saying that he's too small. Personally, I don't see anything wrong with his size. By comparison to other NFL players: Bruce Irvin: 6'3" 245 lbs.

Cliff Avril: 6'3" 252 lbs. Demarcus Lawrence: 6'3" 251 lbs.

Von Miller: 6'3" 246 lbs.

Khalil Mack: 6'3" 251 lbs. Take the average of these players and you get a prospect at 6'3" 249 lbs. Landry is listed at 6'3" 252 lbs.

By these measurables, Landry has the size, athletic ability and collegiate production to warrant a 1st round pick.

The trade with the Bills would make sense as the Rams may also be looking to snatch Landry with their pick at #23 since Robert Quinn was traded to the Dolphins. If the Rams were to add Landry to a defense with Donald, Peters, Talib, and possibly Suh. No thanks.

The Seahawks should look to snatch Landry in the 1st. If not available, then who?

If Landry is not available, then I see the Seahawks trading down and possibly out of the first to acquire more picks in the 2nd, 3rd, and or 4th rounds. A move that's very plausible considering the amount of potential superstar talent in this years draft in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.

Some of which includes two lineman that I like very much in Isaiah Wynn and Will Hernandez that I think would be excellent additions to our team or any team for that matter. But the recent moves with the offensive line - Picking up Justin Britt's fifth year option, signing DJ Fluker, and bringing in Duane Brown - tells me that drafting Wynn and Hernandez is unlikely. Too bad because I like both lineman a lot.

3rd Round via trade - Austin Corbett, T/G, Nevada

6'4, 310 lbs

CBS Sports Ranking: #87 (3rd Round)

NFL.com Ranking: Round 3-4

DraftAnalyst.com Ranking: Round 2

According to Draft Analyst, Tony Pauline, the four-year starter for the Wolfpack has been receiving a lot of close attention from the Seahawks. While many draft experts expects Corbett to move inside to guard at the next level, the fact that Corbett played his whole career at Left Tackle speaks to his versatility and should work in Corbett's favor. Pauline has Corbett graded in the 2nd round, while NFL.com's Lance Zierlein, has Corbett graded as a 3rd-4th rounder. It's possible the Seahawks move up from the 3rd to acquire Corbett.

If not available, then who?

Nick Nelson, CB, Wisconsin

Holton Hill, CB, Texas

Jessie Bates, S, Wake Forest

Armani Watts, S, Texas A&M

Kalen Ballage, RB, Arizona State

4th Round - Kalen Ballage, RB, Arizona State

6'2, 227 lbs.

CBS Sports Ranking: #81

NFL.com Ranking: Round 5-6

DraftAnalyst.com Ranking: Round 4

Meet your insurance policy for C.J. Prosise. Prosise was to be the change of pace, versatile back of the Seahawks backfield but the guy is made of glass. Ballage could be the guy to compete with Prosise for the job. At 227 lbs., Ballage ran a 4.46 40 at the combine and was timed in the 4.3s during his pro day. Ballage has tremendous versatility, catching balls out of the backfield, slot, and sometimes split out wide. He's got size, speed, hands, and kick return ability. The knock on Ballage is his vision, decision-making and that he doesn't possess much 'wiggle.' Put on the tape, Ballage shows that he doesn't need much wiggle. Give him a sliver and he can turn it into a homerun. Ballage has all the tools to earn a spot in the Seahawks backfield.

If not available, then who?

Durham Smythe, TE, Notre Dame

Josh Sweat, DE, Florida State

Auden Tate, WR, Florida State

5th Round - Durham Smythe, TE, Notre Dame

6'5", 257 lbs.

CBS Sports Ranking: #198

NFL.com Ranking: Round 4-5

DraftAnalyst.com Ranking: Round 5

With the departure or Luke Willson and Jimmy Graham, the Seahawks will need another TE even with the addition of Ed Dickson. Smythe is a very solid run blocker with decent athleticism and hands. He's not a freakish athlete like Gronk but what Smythe excels in is blocking, run and pass. He always puts himself in the best position to block and prides himself in finishing. I always thought that the Seahawks was more productive with a more classic "Y" tight-end, e.g., Zach Miller. Drafting Smythe could be an indication of getting back to a more physical style offense. Smythe has the build and ability to be a decent starter for the Hawks.

5th Round - Auden Tate, WR, Florida State

6'5", 225 lbs.

CBS Sports Ranking: #68

NFL.com Ranking: Round 4-5

DraftAnalyst.com Ranking: Round 5

Personally, I don't think Auden Tate will be available by round 5. I think the CBS Sports ranking is a better projection for Tate in that a team looking for a big endzone threat with upside will spend a 3rd or 4th round pick on him. But, for the sake of this mock draft, I'm going to entertain the 5th round projections of NFL.com and Draftanalyst.com. With Jimmy Graham's departure, the Seahawks have no big body, redzone threat. Tate can help fill that void as this is where he made his money with the 'Noles. Some scouts think Tate lacks athleticism to be considered a WR1 as his combine numbers reflects it:

40-yard: 4.68

Vertical: 31"

Broad Jump: 121"

He's not quick out the gates and takes him a while to get to full speed. Even when he does get to full speed, it's average at best.

But Tate has strong hands with a very good catch radius. Jump balls against Tate usually works in his favor and he's not afraid to go for balls thrown in the middle of field or in traffic. When placed one on one against potential top 10 draft pick, Minkah Fitzpatrick, Tate out-positioned and schooled the Bama DB for a score.

Tate will not give you a full route tree and may be limited to fades, seams, and hitches. But, if the defense is giving you man coverage in the redzone, Tate would be more than a serviceable option.

5th Round - Brandon Facyson, DB, Virginia Tech

6'1.5", 203lbs.

CBS Sports Ranking: #256

NFL.com Ranking: Round 3-4

DraftAnalyst.com Ranking: Round 6

Virginia Tech's all-time leader in passes defended (39), Facyson possess good NFL size with long arms. A smart defender that is known to absorb coaching quickly and liked by teammates and coaches alike. A sure tackler who once ranked #3 in tackling efficiency by Pro Football Focus. He may lack elite straight-line speed, but, Facyson is athletic enough to match up against any WR. He did a good job when tasked with covering Oklahoma State's explosive WR, James Washington.

7th Round - Nick Bawden, FB, San Diego State

6'2", 244 lbs.

CBS Sports Ranking: NA

NFL.com Ranking: Round 7/FA

DraftAnalyst.com Ranking: Round 7

When I see a successful running back, I like to watch for the guys opening up the holes in front of him. In the case of Rashaad Penny, the man in front of him was Nick Bawden. A former quarterback turned fullback, Bawden is an excellent run blocker that plays with a nasty streak. His experience as a QB may work in his favor by being able to read defenses and exploit running lanes. The 2016 Pro Football Focus All-American fullback selection can become another piece to fulfill Seattle's desire to become a more physical running offense.

7th Round - Azeem Victor, LB, Washington

6'1", 240 lbs.

CBS Sports Ranking: NA

NFL.com Ranking: Round 7/FA

DraftAnalyst.com Ranking: Round 6-7

I'll finish this mock draft with a little homer plug with former Husky linebacker, Azeem Victor. Before injuring his leg in 2016, Victor was graded as a potential second day prospect. After a troubled 2017 season which included a DUI arrest and losing his starting position, most NFL teams will likely let the former Husky starter go undrafted. However, his combine numbers were decent and he has decent tape. The value I see in Victor for the Seahawks pick at #248 is in special teams as he was once the Huskies Special Teams captain. There is obvious risk with Victor and teams will have to do a thorough check to see where Victor is mentally, but if all checks out, Victor could be a late round or UDFA steal.


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